The summer will be hot, said Wednesday Meteo France, after the record temperatures in late May that accentuated dry soils, especially in the Northeast and in Corsica.
The summer will be hot, said Wednesday Meteo France, after the record temperatures in late May that accentuated dry soils, especially in the Northeast and in Corsica. “The ‘hot signal” is predominant for this summer “ on the western and northern Europe and around the Mediterranean basin, said Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, management of Climatology of Meteo France.
underlying trend
This means likely higher than normal temperatures (compared with the period from 1981 to 2010), a trend linked to climate change. “It takes the habit in recent years, with the global warming signal,” says climatologist.
The forecasts for the summer, based on global oceanic and atmospheric data, give however no indication nor rain on potential heat waves to wait. Summer rainfall, which usually take the form of thunderstorms, are indeed difficult to predict the medium term.
For now, Meteo France provides for the return of rainfall in France for the end of the week. “The rainfall coming weeks will be decisive for the Hauts-de-France and the Grand East, to avoid a worsening drought in these regions” , said the body of the forecast.
A rainfall deficit close to 30%
Hexagon was a rainfall deficit close to 30% over the last six months. The rains in early May brought some respite, but from the 20th May, the thermometer climbed to records.
This spring should thus get into the top 5 of the hottest spring since 1900 and recorded records began.
However, dry soils are less severe and more localized than in spring 2011, when the country was concerned. It is also far from the record year 1976, when the rains had started to miss from the previous fall.
At this stage, soils experiencing drought “strong” especially in the Ardennes, Lorraine, “even exceptional in Corsica”, says one Meteo France.